USD/THB to 34.00 by October 28: the BOT policy hold
USD/THB reaches 34.00 by October 28, 2026 in the base case if the Bank of Thailand holds the policy rate at 1.00 per cent. A close below 33.587 invalidates it.
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Currency pairs, central banks and the brokers that price them.
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October 2026
USD/THB reaches 34.00 by October 28, 2026 in the base case if the Bank of Thailand holds the policy rate at 1.00 per cent. A close below 33.587 invalidates it.
USD/CHF reaches 0.8400 by October 28, 2026 as the existing Fed-SNB rate gap holds into the FOMC decision. A daily close below 0.8228 breaks this call.
GBP/CAD reaches 1.8970 by November 5, 2026 in the base case, the July 10 daily average. Yahoo spot was 1.8849. A daily average below 1.8683 breaks the call.
NZD/USD is called at 0.55275 by October 28, 2026 if the Fed holds but leaves a later hike live. A hike points to 0.54635. A close above 0.57195 breaks the call.
GBP/NZD reaches 2.3791 by October 28, 2026 if the cash rate stays at 2.75%. A rise to 3.00% points to 2.3277. An ECB reference below 2.2985 breaks the call.
EUR/CAD reaches 1.6122 by October 29, 2026 in the base case, on the Bank of Canada average. The ECB deposit rate sits 25 basis points above the 2.25% target.
USD/SEK reaches 10.15 by November 4, 2026. A 213 bp gap between the Fed and the Riksbank outweighs a 1.85% path. A daily close below 9.78 ends the call.
CAD/JPY, last at 111.258, is seen at 109.78 by October 30, 2026 on the Bank of Japan Outlook, with Canada's report the offset. Above 113.48 the call fails.
September 2026
EUR/AUD reaches 1.6095 by November 3, 2026 after the RBA cash rate rose to 4.60% and August CPI hit 4.0%. A weekly close above 1.6438 invalidates the call.
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