USD/TWD to 31.795 by 17 December 2026: the surplus case
USD/TWD reaches 31.795 by December 17, 2026 as the trade surplus pulls the pair back to the October 7 close. A weekly close above 32.454 breaks the call.
Desk
FOREX
Currency pairs, central banks and the brokers that price them.
116 stories since 2021
October 2026
USD/CLP to 997.75 by 27 October 2026, the hold case
USD/CLP reaches 997.75 by 27 October 2026 as the rise since the September hold extends into a Banco Central de Chile hold. A print below 945.87 ends the call.
GBP/NOK to 12.5480 by November 5: the rate-gap case
GBP/NOK reaches 12.5480 by November 5, 2026 in the base case while the 75 basis-point gap holds. A Norges Bank daily fixing above 12.7558 breaks the call.
NZD/CHF to 0.47155 by December 10: the OCR carry case
NZD/CHF reaches 0.47155 by December 10, 2026 as the 275bp OCR gap over a 0% SNB rate meets a 50% retracement. A daily close below 0.46390 breaks the call.
GBP/SEK falls to 13.0773 by 4 November on krona risk
GBP/SEK reaches 13.0773 by 4 November 2026, a 38.2% retracement of the Riksbank fixing rally, if the krona firms. A print above 13.28199 breaks the call.
USD/IDR to 18,000 by October 21: the dollar-hold gap
USD/IDR at 18,000 by the October 21 Bank Indonesia decision, from a JISDOR fix of 17,884. The call breaks on a daily close below 17,855.
USD/ILS to 3.099 by October 21: the July rate-path gap
USD/ILS base case is 3.099 by October 21, 2026. The July Bank of Israel path averages 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2027. A 3.005 print ends the call.
USD/PHP to 63.01 by October 22: the real-rate case
USD/PHP reaches 63.01 by October 22, 2026 as the 5.00 per cent policy rate trails July inflation of 6.2 per cent. A fix at or below 62.568 breaks the call.
NZD/CAD to 0.7923 by December 9: the 2-year yield case
NZD/CAD reaches 0.7923 by December 9, 2026 if the Canadian 2-year yield stays above 3.11%. Spot was 0.8005 on October 9. A reading above 0.8143 ends the call.
AUD/CHF to 0.57685 by December 10: priced-in SNB gap
AUD/CHF reaches 0.57685 by December 10, 2026 in the base case as the 12.08% yearly rally stalls into the SNB decision. A close above 0.5882 breaks it.
USD/THB to 34.00 by October 28: the BOT policy hold
USD/THB reaches 34.00 by October 28, 2026 in the base case if the Bank of Thailand holds the policy rate at 1.00 per cent. A close below 33.587 invalidates it.
USD/CHF to 0.8400 by October 28: the rate-gap case
USD/CHF reaches 0.8400 by October 28, 2026 as the existing Fed-SNB rate gap holds into the FOMC decision. A daily close below 0.8228 breaks this call.
GBP/CAD to 1.8970 by November 5 on the July average
GBP/CAD reaches 1.8970 by November 5, 2026 in the base case, the July 10 daily average. Yahoo spot was 1.8849. A daily average below 1.8683 breaks the call.
NZD/USD to 0.55275 by October 28: the Fed-hold case
NZD/USD is called at 0.55275 by October 28, 2026 if the Fed holds but leaves a later hike live. A hike points to 0.54635. A close above 0.57195 breaks the call.
GBP/NZD to 2.3791 by October 28: the rate-gap case
GBP/NZD reaches 2.3791 by October 28, 2026 if the cash rate stays at 2.75%. A rise to 3.00% points to 2.3277. An ECB reference below 2.2985 breaks the call.
EUR/CAD to 1.6122 by October 29: the rate-gap case
EUR/CAD reaches 1.6122 by October 29, 2026 in the base case, on the Bank of Canada average. The ECB deposit rate sits 25 basis points above the 2.25% target.
USD/SEK to 10.15 by November 4 on the rate-gap path
USD/SEK reaches 10.15 by November 4, 2026. A 213 bp gap between the Fed and the Riksbank outweighs a 1.85% path. A daily close below 9.78 ends the call.
CAD/JPY slips to 109.78 into the October 30 outlook
CAD/JPY, last at 111.258, is seen at 109.78 by October 30, 2026 on the Bank of Japan Outlook, with Canada's report the offset. Above 113.48 the call fails.
September 2026
EUR/AUD to 1.6095 by the November 3 RBA decision
EUR/AUD reaches 1.6095 by November 3, 2026 after the RBA cash rate rose to 4.60% and August CPI hit 4.0%. A weekly close above 1.6438 invalidates the call.
April 2023
Ardu Prime Is Getting Ready for the Turkish Airlines EuroLeague Final Four
Ardu Prime, Turkish Airlines EuroLeague’s Premium Partner, gears up for the end-of-season highlight.
