ASX 200 to 8,500 by November 3: the cash-rate case
ASX 200 at 8,696.8 faces 8,500 by the November 3 Reserve Bank decision after the cash rate rose to 4.60 per cent. A daily close above 8,808.4 ends the call.
Abdelaziz Fathi
Senior Reporter, Brokers and Prop Firms
Abdelaziz Fathi covers the intersection of forex/CFD brokerage, regulation, liquidity, fintech, and digital assets. With a B.A. in Finance and hands-on industry exposure, Aziz blends analytical rigor with clear storytelling to make complex market structure understandable for traders, brokers, and fintech professionals.
October 2026
Euro Stoxx 50 to 6,040 by October 28: the live-hike case
The Euro Stoxx 50 falls to 6,040 by the October 28 cash close if the Fed median of 4.1 percent keeps another hike live. A close above 6,311 breaks the call.
Hang Seng to 23,400 by October 28: the hold-not-pivot case
The Hang Seng reaches 23,400 by October 28, 2026 if the Fed holds without a pivot. A daily close above 24,400 breaks the call, and 22,900 is the bear case.
What is a funded account: simulated capital, not yours
What is a funded account? It is simulated capital the firm owns, not a deposit you control. The fee is not an investment, and the loss rules stop most payouts.
USD/CHF to 0.8400 by October 28: the rate-gap case
USD/CHF reaches 0.8400 by October 28, 2026 as the existing Fed-SNB rate gap holds into the FOMC decision. A daily close below 0.8228 breaks this call.
Funded Academy review: 12-hour reward vs a 24-hour FAQ
Funded Academy advertises performance rewards in 12 hours. Its payout FAQ says processing takes 24 hours, on a simulated book with an 80% or 85% split.
CAC 40 to 7,949 by October 29: the deposit-rate hold
The CAC 40 base case is 7,949 by October 29, 2026, half of a 2.13% week, if the ECB holds the deposit rate at 2.50%. A weekly close below 7,614 ends the call.
GBP/CAD to 1.8970 by November 5 on the July average
GBP/CAD reaches 1.8970 by November 5, 2026 in the base case, the July 10 daily average. Yahoo spot was 1.8849. A daily average below 1.8683 breaks the call.
PTC to $205 by April 4, 2027: the cash-spread case
PTC closed at $192.26 on October 5, leaving $12.74 to Schneider Electric's $205 cash price. The signed merger agreement's initial end date is April 4, 2027.
NVDA to $248 by November 17: the Q3 guide case
NVDA closed at $238.90 on October 5, 2026. Base case $248 by the November 17, 2026 call, bull $256, bear $230.86. A daily close below $221.56 ends it.
Silver to $57.62 by October 28: the real-yield case
Silver (XAG/USD) reaches $57.62 by October 28, 2026 if the 10-year real yield stays near 2.95% into the FOMC. A weekly close above $62.00 ends the call.
CMC Funded review: the payout policy is not published
CMC Funded shows an 80% split on a simulated Classic or Direct account.
WTI to $86.52 by October 28 as Gulf supply returns
WTI crude at $90.12 is called to $86.52 by October 28, 2026 as a G7 stock release and firmer Gulf exports weigh on price. Weekly close above $99.37 ends it.
TradersYard review: payout caps and the 50% profit gate
TradersYard pays 100% of the first $300 on futures and 90% after that, but a request can take only half of available profit and is capped by account size.
NZD/USD to 0.55275 by October 28: the Fed-hold case
NZD/USD is called at 0.55275 by October 28, 2026 if the Fed holds but leaves a later hike live. A hike points to 0.54635. A close above 0.57195 breaks the call.
FTSE 100 to 10,577 by December 9: the gilt-relief case
The FTSE 100 base case is 10,577 by December 9, 2026, with 10,807 if gilt relief holds and 10,232 if the 2.2% weekly loss repeats. Under 10,117, the call ends.
Live cattle to 223.74 by October 23, 2026: the feedlot case
December 2026 Live cattle is called to 223.74 cents per pound by October 23, 2026.
Soybeans to 1,298.75 cents by October 9, 2026
November soybeans settled at 1,278.25 cents on October 2. The base case is 1,298.75 cents by the October 9, 2026 WASDE. Under 1,273.25 cents, the call breaks.
Alpine Funded review: the payout that waits for a third withdrawal
Alpine Funded lets a Base Camp trader request a payout at 5% profit, then holds the first and second amounts until a third payout unless an On-Demand add-on was bought.
Ascension Funding review: 24–48 hours is not the payout clock
Ascension Funding sells a 90% split and 24–48 hour withdrawals.
Also filing this week: Rick Steves and Karthik Subramanian.