Lumber to $496: the housing-starts case
LBRF27 last was $515.00 on October 30. The base case is $496.00 on the housing-starts path, and a weekly close above $524.50 breaks it.
Abdelaziz Fathi
Senior Reporter, Brokers and Prop Firms
Abdelaziz Fathi covers the intersection of forex/CFD brokerage, regulation, liquidity, fintech, and digital assets. With a B.A. in Finance and hands-on industry exposure, Aziz blends analytical rigor with clear storytelling to make complex market structure understandable for traders, brokers, and fintech professionals.
November 2026
Sensex back to 73,123.83 on the next RBI hike
The BSE Sensex base case is 73,123.83 by December 4, 2026 if the RBI hikes the 5.50% repo rate again. A close above 74,729.27 breaks the bearish call.
EUR/SGD to 1.4172 while the S$NEER slope holds
EUR/SGD base case is 1.4172 into the December ECB decision while MAS holds the S$NEER slope. A reference print above 1.4395 breaks the call.
October 2026
Natural gas to $3.10 as the storage surplus thins
Natural gas at $2.76 sits under the October average while Lower 48 stocks are only 1.0% above the five-year norm. The base case is $3.10.
Arabica to 310 cents: the first-notice tightness case
December arabica reaches 310.00 cents by November 18, 2026 as certified stocks sit near a 27-year low into first notice. A close under 280.80 breaks the path.
Doji Funding review: payout caps on a simulated account
Doji Funding lets a trader set the target, drawdown and split, then caps the first two payout requests at 2% of a simulated account above a 3% buffer.
Platinum to $1,551: the positioning washout case
NYMEX platinum reaches $1,551 by November 20, 2026 in the base case after managed-money length fell to 1,765 contracts. A close under $1,422.40 ends the call.
Palladium fades to $935.30 under a failed $1,000 break
NYMEX palladium at $987.70 carries a base case of $935.30, with managed-money shorts at 70.0% of open interest. Settlement above $1,000 ends the call.
PropXP review: static drawdown versus the split add-on
PropXP review: a static 6% loss floor, an add-on that lifts the share from 80% to 95%, and USDT rewards the firm still calculates on simulated results.
CSI 300 to 4,176.06 on an unchanged loan prime rate
CSI 300 reaches 4,176.06 in the base case if the next loan prime rate fixing leaves both tenors at 3.0% and 3.5%. A close below 4,030.23 ends that path.
STOXX 600 to 631: the tighter-financing case
STOXX 600 last printed 649.11. Base case 631 into the December 17 ECB press conference, as a 35 bp rise in sovereign yields tightens euro-area financing.
CAD/NOK to 6.58 as Norway's rate premium holds
CAD/NOK reaches 6.5800 by November 5, 2026 in the base case, with Norway's 4.50% policy rate keeping a 200 basis point premium over Canada's 2.50% target.
True Forex Funds review: permanently closed for insolvency
True Forex Funds has ceased operations. Its homepage is an insolvency notice with no fee, split or payout terms, and every older figure below is labelled as historical.
Jakarta Composite to 5,439.26: the BI-Rate hold case
Jakarta Composite base case is 5,439.26 into the next Bank Indonesia decision, using the completed October 28 close of 5,282.31. A close under 4,996.61 ends it.
Shanghai Composite to 3,735.37 on an LPR hold
The Shanghai Composite base case is a return to 3,735.37 if the next Loan Prime Rate fixing holds the one-year rate at 3.0% and the over-five-year rate at 3.5%.
BIST 100 to 11,577.12 under a still-tight real rate
BIST 100 reaches 11,577.12 by the November inflation report in the base case, with 11,947.18 if guidance eases and 10,707.18 if the inflation path is lifted.
KOSPI to 6,193: the halfway case on the Base Rate
KOSPI base case is 6,193.45 into the next Bank of Korea decision, halfway back from the September close to the October low. Under 5,305.98 the path ends.
Hash Hedge review: zero risk against the customer contract
Hash Hedge review: homepage zero-risk wording, a non-refundable fee, an 80 percent contract share, and one live payout cycle that closes the account.
USD/PLN to 3.9800: the NBP hold still bites
USD/PLN reaches 3.9800 by November 4 in the base case after the NBP fixing printed 3.9542, the high of the year. A fixing at or below 3.8886 ends the call.
OMXS30 fades to 3,162.78 under the Riksbank rate path
OMXS30 fades to 3,162.78 if the Riksbank keeps a 2026 rate increase live. Bull case 3,306.18, bear case 3,148.54. A close above 3,290.36 ends it.
Also filing this week: Rick Steves and Karthik Subramanian.