GBP/USD to 1.30 by year-end 2026: the BOE-cut and US-growth case
Base case GBP/USD 1.3000 by Dec 31 2026 on a 75bp BOE cut path against a Fed that holds; bull 1.4000, bear 1.2500. Four signals that break the call.
Abdelaziz Fathi
Senior Reporter, Brokers and Prop Firms
Abdelaziz Fathi covers the intersection of forex/CFD brokerage, regulation, liquidity, fintech, and digital assets. With a B.A. in Finance and hands-on industry exposure, Aziz blends analytical rigor with clear storytelling to make complex market structure understandable for traders, brokers, and fintech professionals.
May 2026
COMEX copper to $7.00/lb by year-end 2026: the grid-deficit case
COMEX copper to $7.00/lb by Dec 31, 2026 base case: JPM's 330k-tonne deficit, COMEX tariff arbitrage stocks above 503k tonnes, and a grid-and-AI demand pulse.
S&P 500 to 7,800 by year-end 2026: the AI-capex and Fed-cut case
S&P 500 targets 7,800 by year-end 2026 from 7,473 on AI capex, Fed cuts to 3.00-3.25%, and broadening earnings — bull 8,200, bear 6,800.
Silver to $95 by Q3 2026: the ratio-compression case
Silver targets $95 by Q3 2026 as the gold-to-silver ratio compresses from 59 toward 50 on Fed easing and gold's $5,000 path — base, bull, and bear cases laid out.
EUR/USD to 1.20 by Q3 2026: the rate-gap compression case
EUR/USD targets 1.20 by Q3 2026 as the Fed cuts toward 3.00%-3.25% and the ECB weighs a June 11 hike, compressing the transatlantic rate differential.
USD/JPY to 152 by year-end 2026: the BOJ-hike and Fed-cut case
USD/JPY at 159 with the Fed-BOJ differential at ~325 bp. The base case to 152 by year-end rests on Fed cuts, BOJ hikes, and 4–6 yen of compression-driven strengthening.
Gold to $5,000 by year-end 2026: the September FOMC and CB-buying floor
Gold to $5,000/oz by year-end 2026 in the base case — the September FOMC dot-plot reset and 60-tonne-per-month central-bank buying remain the load-bearing catalysts.
WTI to $85 by July: the Iran-deal and UAE-OPEC exit thesis
WTI base case $85/bbl by July 31 2026 from $102.27 spot. Iran framework + UAE-OPEC exit compress geopolitical premium; Goldman cuts Q2 to $87.
December 2021
Binance Buys Remaining Stake in Crypto Debit Card Provider Swipe
Exchange giant Binance is buying the remaining stake put up for sale by crypto wallet app Swipe, which allows users to purchase items via a Visa debit card.
eToro Expands List of Supported Cryptocurrencies to 42
eToro, the leading social trading network, has pushed ahead with its plans to broaden its cryptocurrency offering, citing enough liquidity and strong customer demand.
Russia to Block Crypto Transactions under MCC Code 6051
The Bank of Russia is talking with market players and experts about several potential options to make its ban on cryptocurrency investments possible.
Iran Renews Ban on Crypto Mining to Stave Off Electricity Outages
Iran’s government is temporarily banning cryptocurrency mining as officials blame the energy-intensive industry for unplanned blackouts during the cold winter months.
Playtech Expands US Reach via Link-Up with Parx Interactive and Bet365
Gambling technology firm Playtech has agreed to supply its casino facilities in Michigan and New Jersey as it looks to grow its North American footprint.
Also filing this week: Rick Steves and Karthik Subramanian.